Thanks!

Yes Turkey is currently playing a kind of mediator role, but the Turks and Russians have plenty of historic opposition (Ha! My fiance is Armenian, some firsthand info there, also Turks easily bought off when Sweden/Finland joined). My father was a WW II POW in Hungary (we went to see his plane wreckage in 2019) https://scottvern.medium.com/a-world-war-ii-bomber-pilots-crash-and-tale-of-survival-ccfce7103ac

It would seem that although Orban is tight w Putin, they have much closer historic ties w Germany. On the same trip we visited Moscow, everyone we met was pleasant, I don't wish ordinary citizens harm, it just seems that NATO superiority over Black Sea and skies (over Ukraine and possibly Belarus or wherever Russian attacks are launched) would end this thing REALLY fast! I believe Russians know they'd be outgunned in a nuclear conflict (though maybe "outgunned" is meaningless in that context). China certainly seems to be on the sidelines with all of this.